What is WWE's Intrinsic value?

World Wrestling Entertainment Inc (WWE) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, World Wrestling Entertainment Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $63.06 to $137.79 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $92.21 -8.4%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $83.11 -17.4%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $63.06 -37.4%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $137.79 +36.9%
Earnings Power Value $98.48 -2.2%

Is World Wrestling Entertainment Inc (WWE) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $100.65, the stock appears to be fairly valued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate World Wrestling Entertainment Inc's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 4.6% 5.6%
Adjusted beta 0.36 0.56
Cost of equity 5.5% 8.0%
Cost of debt 4.0% 4.6%
Tax rate 21.1% 22.9%
Debt/Equity ratio 0.05 0.05
After-tax WACC 5.4% 7.8%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 6.6% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $1,292 (FY12-2022) to $2,664 (FY12-2032)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 15% to 16%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 7% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $83 $9,578M 89.5%
10-Year Growth $92 $10,618M 79.5%
5-Year EBITDA $47 $5,414M 81.4%
10-Year EBITDA $57 $6,616M 67.2%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 21.6%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 6.8%
  • Long-term growth rate: 4.0%
  • Fair value: $63.06 (-37.4% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 8.0% (Low) to 5.5% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 3.0% (Low) to 5.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $21 to $255
  • Selected fair value: $137.79 (36.9% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $724M
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.8% - 5.4%
Enterprise Value $9,264M - $13,404M
Net Debt $82M
Equity Value $9,182M - $13,322M
Outstanding Shares 114M
Fair Value $80 - $117
Selected Fair Value $98.48

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $11500M
Enterprise Value $11582M
Trailing P/E 68.00
Forward P/E 52.64
Trailing EV/EBITDA 11.90
Current Dividend Yield 31.79%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) -1.03%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.05

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $27.66
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $20.78
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $12.61
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $20.67
Earnings Power Value 10% $9.85
Weighted Average 100% $91.57

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, World Wrestling Entertainment Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $91.57, which is approximately 9.0% below the current market price of $100.65.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (15% to 16% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Conservative capital structure (Debt/Equity of 0.05)

Given these factors, we believe World Wrestling Entertainment Inc is currently fairly valued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.