What is WWE's DCF valuation?

World Wrestling Entertainment Inc (WWE) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, World Wrestling Entertainment Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $92.21 per share. With the current market price at $100.65, this represents a potential upside of -8.4%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $83.11
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $92.21
Potential Upside (5-year) -17.4%
Potential Upside (10-year) -8.4%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.4% - 7.8%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $1292 million in 12-2022 to $2664 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.5%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2022 1292 18%
12-2023 1383 7%
12-2024 1486 7%
12-2025 1636 10%
12-2026 1735 6%
12-2027 1895 9%
12-2028 2066 9%
12-2029 2157 4%
12-2030 2349 9%
12-2031 2467 5%
12-2032 2664 8%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 15% in 12-2022 to 16% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2022 196 15%
12-2023 218 16%
12-2024 235 16%
12-2025 258 16%
12-2026 274 16%
12-2027 299 16%
12-2028 326 16%
12-2029 341 16%
12-2030 371 16%
12-2031 390 16%
12-2032 421 16%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $74 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 7% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2023 85
12-2024 91
12-2025 107
12-2026 121
12-2027 106
12-2028 115

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 36
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2023 193 32 45 19 97
2024 415 69 97 33 216
2025 463 76 107 (6) 286
2026 499 81 113 17 288
2027 519 89 123 20 287

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.4% - 7.8%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 11.9x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 83.11 -17.4%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 92.21 -8.4%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 46.66 -53.6%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 57.18 -43.2%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $9,578M
  • 10-Year Model: $10,618M

Investment Conclusion

Is World Wrestling Entertainment Inc (WWE) a buy or a sell? World Wrestling Entertainment Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, World Wrestling Entertainment Inc (WWE) appears to be fairly valued with upside potential of -8.4%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from 15% to 16%)
  • Steady revenue growth (7.5% CAGR)

Investors should consider a hold at the current market price of $100.65.