What is WSP.L's DCF valuation?

Wynnstay Properties PLC (WSP.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, Wynnstay Properties PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $725.00, this represents a potential upside of 68.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 40.2%
Potential Upside (10-year) 68.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) 4.9% - 6.5%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $3 million in 03-2024 to $4 million by 03-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.9%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
03-2024 3 13%
03-2025 3 6%
03-2026 3 2%
03-2027 3 2%
03-2028 3 2%
03-2029 3 6%
03-2030 3 5%
03-2031 3 4%
03-2032 3 3%
03-2033 4 3%
03-2034 4 4%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 52% in 03-2024 to 50% by 03-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
03-2024 1 52%
03-2025 1 50%
03-2026 1 50%
03-2027 1 50%
03-2028 1 50%
03-2029 2 50%
03-2030 2 50%
03-2031 2 50%
03-2032 2 50%
03-2033 2 50%
03-2034 2 50%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
03-2025 0
03-2026 0
03-2027 0
03-2028 0
03-2029 0
03-2030 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 41
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 87

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2025 1 0 0 0 1
2026 2 0 0 0 2
2027 2 0 0 (0) 2
2028 2 0 0 0 2
2029 2 0 0 0 2

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 4.9% - 6.5%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 19.1x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 40.2%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 68.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 1265.07 74.5%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 1447.40 99.6%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $31M
  • 10-Year Model: $36M

Investment Conclusion

Is Wynnstay Properties PLC (WSP.L) a buy or a sell? Wynnstay Properties PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Wynnstay Properties PLC (WSP.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 68.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (2.9% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $725.00.