What is WORK's DCF valuation?

Slack Technologies Inc (WORK) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 25, 2025, Slack Technologies Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $45.20, this represents a potential upside of -270.7%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -191.2%
Potential Upside (10-year) -270.7%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.0% - 9.3%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $903 million in 01-2021 to $9941 million by 01-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 27.1%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
01-2021 903 43%
01-2022 1223 36%
01-2023 1710 40%
01-2024 2373 39%
01-2025 3091 30%
01-2026 3841 24%
01-2027 4808 25%
01-2028 5934 23%
01-2029 7238 22%
01-2030 8489 17%
01-2031 9941 17%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -32% in 01-2021 to -29% by 01-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
01-2021 (292) -32%
01-2022 (388) -32%
01-2023 (532) -31%
01-2024 (723) -30%
01-2025 (924) -30%
01-2026 (1,127) -29%
01-2027 (1,406) -29%
01-2028 (1,729) -29%
01-2029 (2,102) -29%
01-2030 (2,457) -29%
01-2031 (2,867) -29%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $34 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 12% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
01-2022 58
01-2023 93
01-2024 136
01-2025 198
01-2026 284
01-2027 368

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 87
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 74

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2022 (238) (0) 107 26 (371)
2023 (421) (1) 199 125 (744)
2024 (562) (1) 276 162 (999)
2025 (695) (1) 359 147 (1,200)
2026 (803) (2) 446 183 (1,431)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.0% - 9.3%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 23.6x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -191.2%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -270.7%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(24,852)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(45,936)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Slack Technologies Inc (WORK) a buy or a sell? Slack Technologies Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Slack Technologies Inc (WORK) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -270.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -32% to -29%)
  • Steady revenue growth (27.1% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $45.20.