What is WKME's DCF valuation?

Walkme Ltd (WKME) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 13, 2025, Walkme Ltd has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $13.95, this represents a potential upside of -348.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -273.8%
Potential Upside (10-year) -348.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.7% - 8.2%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $267 million in 12-2023 to $886 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.7%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2023 267 9%
12-2024 279 5%
12-2025 321 15%
12-2026 371 16%
12-2027 428 16%
12-2028 485 13%
12-2029 553 14%
12-2030 642 16%
12-2031 730 14%
12-2032 825 13%
12-2033 886 7%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -21% in 12-2023 to -14% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2023 (57) -21%
12-2024 (50) -18%
12-2025 (55) -17%
12-2026 (61) -16%
12-2027 (67) -16%
12-2028 (73) -15%
12-2029 (83) -15%
12-2030 (95) -15%
12-2031 (107) -15%
12-2032 (120) -15%
12-2033 (128) -14%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 1% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2024 2
12-2025 3
12-2026 3
12-2027 4
12-2028 5
12-2029 5

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 65
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 40

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2024 (32) (1) 2 4 (36)
2025 (70) (2) 4 5 (77)
2026 (78) (2) 5 7 (87)
2027 (87) (3) 5 11 (101)
2028 (95) (3) 6 9 (107)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 6.7% - 8.2%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 12.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -273.8%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -348.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(2,478)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(3,441)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Walkme Ltd (WKME) a buy or a sell? Walkme Ltd is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Walkme Ltd (WKME) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -348.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -21% to -14%)
  • Steady revenue growth (12.7% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $13.95.