What is WEB.L's DCF valuation?

Webis Holding PLC (WEB.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 23, 2025, Webis Holding PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $16.56 per share. With the current market price at $0.07, this represents a potential upside of 21979.4%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $12.60
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $16.56
Potential Upside (5-year) 16705.8%
Potential Upside (10-year) 21979.4%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.8% - 7.2%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $50 million in 05-2023 to $61 million by 05-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.0%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
05-2023 50 7%
05-2024 47 -5%
05-2025 48 2%
05-2026 49 2%
05-2027 52 6%
05-2028 54 3%
05-2029 55 2%
05-2030 56 2%
05-2031 57 2%
05-2032 58 2%
05-2033 61 5%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -1% in 05-2023 to 6% by 05-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
05-2023 (1) -1%
05-2024 0 0%
05-2025 1 2%
05-2026 2 3%
05-2027 2 5%
05-2028 3 6%
05-2029 3 6%
05-2030 3 6%
05-2031 3 6%
05-2032 3 6%
05-2033 4 6%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
05-2024 0
05-2025 0
05-2026 0
05-2027 0
05-2028 0
05-2029 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 7
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 14

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2024 0 0 0 1 (0)
2025 1 0 0 (1) 2
2026 2 0 0 0 1
2027 3 1 0 0 2
2028 4 1 0 (0) 3

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.8% - 7.2%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 1.0% - 3.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 3.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 12.60 16705.8%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 16.56 21979.4%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 3.83 5370.4%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 6.92 9792.3%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $49M
  • 10-Year Model: $64M

Investment Conclusion

Is Webis Holding PLC (WEB.L) a buy or a sell? Webis Holding PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Webis Holding PLC (WEB.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 21979.4%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -1% to 6%)
  • Steady revenue growth (2.0% CAGR)

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $0.07.