As of May 22, 2025, WANdisco PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $64.00, this represents a potential upside of -27618.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -11857.4% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -27618.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.4% - 8.7% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $10 million in 12-2022 to $368 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 43.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 10 | 33% |
| 12-2023 | 31 | 221% |
| 12-2024 | 46 | 48% |
| 12-2025 | 71 | 55% |
| 12-2026 | 96 | 34% |
| 12-2027 | 126 | 31% |
| 12-2028 | 161 | 28% |
| 12-2029 | 207 | 29% |
| 12-2030 | 254 | 23% |
| 12-2031 | 312 | 23% |
| 12-2032 | 368 | 18% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -306% in 12-2022 to -296% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | (30) | -306% |
| 12-2023 | (92) | -297% |
| 12-2024 | (137) | -297% |
| 12-2025 | (212) | -297% |
| 12-2026 | (284) | -296% |
| 12-2027 | (373) | -296% |
| 12-2028 | (475) | -296% |
| 12-2029 | (613) | -296% |
| 12-2030 | (752) | -296% |
| 12-2031 | (922) | -296% |
| 12-2032 | (1,088) | -296% |
with a 5-year average of $5 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 41% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 6 |
| 12-2024 | 9 |
| 12-2025 | 13 |
| 12-2026 | 20 |
| 12-2027 | 30 |
| 12-2028 | 41 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 139 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 388 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2023 | (63) | (2) | 6 | 4 | (72) |
| 2024 | (186) | (4) | 19 | 0 | (201) |
| 2025 | (289) | (7) | 29 | 6 | (316) |
| 2026 | (386) | (9) | 39 | 9 | (424) |
| 2027 | (502) | (12) | 51 | 5 | (546) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -11857.4% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -27618.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is WANdisco PLC (WAND.L) a buy or a sell? WANdisco PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, WANdisco PLC (WAND.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -27618.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $64.00.