As of May 25, 2025, Victory Square Technologies Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.22, this represents a potential upside of -2096.0%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -2247.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -2096.0% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 7.4% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $12 million in 12-2023 to $16 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.9%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 12 | 103% |
| 12-2024 | 13 | 6% |
| 12-2025 | 13 | 2% |
| 12-2026 | 13 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 14 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 14 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 14 | 4% |
| 12-2030 | 15 | 2% |
| 12-2031 | 16 | 6% |
| 12-2032 | 16 | 2% |
| 12-2033 | 16 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -145% in 12-2023 to -132% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | (17) | -145% |
| 12-2024 | (18) | -144% |
| 12-2025 | (18) | -141% |
| 12-2026 | (18) | -139% |
| 12-2027 | (19) | -136% |
| 12-2028 | (19) | -134% |
| 12-2029 | (19) | -134% |
| 12-2030 | (20) | -133% |
| 12-2031 | (21) | -133% |
| 12-2032 | (21) | -133% |
| 12-2033 | (21) | -132% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 4% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 0 |
| 12-2025 | 0 |
| 12-2026 | 0 |
| 12-2027 | 0 |
| 12-2028 | 1 |
| 12-2029 | 1 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 8 |
| Days Payables | 108 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2024 | (3) | (0) | 0 | (0) | (3) |
| 2025 | (12) | (0) | 1 | 1 | (14) |
| 2026 | (12) | (0) | 1 | (0) | (13) |
| 2027 | (12) | (0) | 1 | (0) | (13) |
| 2028 | (12) | (0) | 1 | 0 | (13) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2247.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2096.0% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Victory Square Technologies Inc (VST.CN) a buy or a sell? Victory Square Technologies Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Victory Square Technologies Inc (VST.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -2096.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.22.