As of April 9, 2026, Uber Technologies Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $17.51 to $149.88 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $149.88 | +107.1% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $104.77 | +44.8% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $84.73 | +17.1% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $97.54 | +34.8% |
| Earnings Power Value | $17.51 | -75.8% |
Is Uber Technologies Inc (UBER) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $72.38, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Uber Technologies Inc's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| Equity market risk premium | 4.6% | 5.6% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Cost of equity | 8.0% | 10.1% |
| Cost of debt | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax rate | 26.2% | 27.0% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| After-tax WACC | 7.7% | 9.7% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $105 | $219,052M | 82.5% |
| 10-Year Growth | $150 | $311,888M | 70.2% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $113 | $236,835M | 83.9% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $157 | $326,390M | 71.5% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $3,384M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.7% - 7.7% |
| Enterprise Value | $35,020M - $43,898M |
| Net Debt | $3,416M |
| Equity Value | $31,604M - $40,482M |
| Outstanding Shares | 2,058M |
| Fair Value | $15 - $20 |
| Selected Fair Value | $17.51 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $148967M |
| Enterprise Value | $152383M |
| Trailing P/E | 14.82 |
| Forward P/E | 25.86 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 16.20 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.07 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $44.96 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $26.19 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $16.95 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $14.63 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $1.75 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $104.49 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Uber Technologies Inc's intrinsic value is $104.49, which is approximately 44.4% above the current market price of $72.38.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Uber Technologies Inc is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.