As of May 27, 2025, Shineco Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $11.09, this represents a potential upside of -659.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -691.8% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -659.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.1% - 8.3% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $3 million in 06-2021 to $4 million by 06-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.9%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | 3 | 87% |
| 06-2022 | 3 | 5% |
| 06-2023 | 3 | 3% |
| 06-2024 | 3 | 2% |
| 06-2025 | 3 | 2% |
| 06-2026 | 3 | 2% |
| 06-2027 | 4 | 2% |
| 06-2028 | 4 | 4% |
| 06-2029 | 4 | 2% |
| 06-2030 | 4 | 4% |
| 06-2031 | 4 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -710% in 06-2021 to -544% by 06-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | (21) | -710% |
| 06-2022 | (18) | -562% |
| 06-2023 | (18) | -558% |
| 06-2024 | (19) | -554% |
| 06-2025 | (19) | -551% |
| 06-2026 | (19) | -547% |
| 06-2027 | (19) | -546% |
| 06-2028 | (20) | -546% |
| 06-2029 | (21) | -545% |
| 06-2030 | (21) | -544% |
| 06-2031 | (22) | -544% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 06-2022 | 0 |
| 06-2023 | 0 |
| 06-2024 | 0 |
| 06-2025 | 0 |
| 06-2026 | 0 |
| 06-2027 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 202 |
| Days Inventory | 73 |
| Days Payables | 5 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | (22) | (5) | 0 | (2) | (16) |
| 2023 | (23) | (5) | 0 | 0 | (19) |
| 2024 | (23) | (5) | 0 | 0 | (19) |
| 2025 | (24) | (5) | 0 | (0) | (19) |
| 2026 | (24) | (5) | 0 | 0 | (19) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -691.8% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -659.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Shineco Inc (TYHT) a buy or a sell? Shineco Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Shineco Inc (TYHT) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -659.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $11.09.