As of May 23, 2025, Trackwise Designs PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.17, this represents a potential upside of -630391.2%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -118465.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -630391.2% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.1% - 9.0% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $8 million in 12-2021 to $2327 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 76.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 8 | 32% |
| 12-2022 | 23 | 186% |
| 12-2023 | 46 | 101% |
| 12-2024 | 92 | 99% |
| 12-2025 | 162 | 76% |
| 12-2026 | 276 | 71% |
| 12-2027 | 457 | 66% |
| 12-2028 | 717 | 57% |
| 12-2029 | 1099 | 53% |
| 12-2030 | 1631 | 48% |
| 12-2031 | 2327 | 43% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -21% in 12-2021 to -5% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | (2) | -21% |
| 12-2022 | (4) | -17% |
| 12-2023 | (7) | -14% |
| 12-2024 | (11) | -12% |
| 12-2025 | (15) | -9% |
| 12-2026 | (19) | -7% |
| 12-2027 | (30) | -6% |
| 12-2028 | (43) | -6% |
| 12-2029 | (62) | -6% |
| 12-2030 | (85) | -5% |
| 12-2031 | (111) | -5% |
with a 5-year average of $4 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 74% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 8 |
| 12-2023 | 14 |
| 12-2024 | 27 |
| 12-2025 | 50 |
| 12-2026 | 88 |
| 12-2027 | 152 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 86 |
| Days Inventory | 137 |
| Days Payables | 123 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2022 | 2 | (0) | 8 | 2 | (9) |
| 2023 | 8 | (2) | 34 | 6 | (31) |
| 2024 | 17 | (3) | 67 | 9 | (56) |
| 2025 | 38 | (4) | 119 | 19 | (97) |
| 2026 | 75 | (4) | 203 | 27 | (150) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -118465.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -630391.2% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 19.73 | 11504.2% |
Is Trackwise Designs PLC (TWD.L) a buy or a sell? Trackwise Designs PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Trackwise Designs PLC (TWD.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -630391.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.17.