As of May 29, 2025, Trifast PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $129.32 to $283.40 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $283.40 | +310.7% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $245.33 | +255.5% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $129.32 | +87.4% |
| Earnings Power Value | $149.01 | +116.0% |
Is Trifast PLC (TRI.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $69.00, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Trifast PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.49 | 0.68 |
| Cost of equity | 7.0% | 9.8% |
| Cost of debt | 4.0% | 9.2% |
| Tax rate | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| After-tax WACC | 5.5% | 8.9% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $245 | $359M | 88.5% |
| 10-Year Growth | $283 | $409M | 74.7% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $96 | $161M | 74.3% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $137 | $216M | 51.9% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $16M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 8.9% - 5.5% |
| Enterprise Value | $177M - $286M |
| Net Debt | $34M |
| Equity Value | $143M - $252M |
| Outstanding Shares | 1M |
| Fair Value | $108 - $190 |
| Selected Fair Value | $149.01 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $91M |
| Enterprise Value | $125M |
| Trailing P/E | 0.00 |
| Forward P/E | 40.31 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 6.85 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 307.19% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | -12.36% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.66 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 35% | $85.02 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 29% | $61.33 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 24% | $25.86 |
| Earnings Power Value | 12% | $14.90 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $220.14 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Trifast PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $220.14, which is approximately 219.0% above the current market price of $69.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Trifast PLC is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.