What is TIXT.TO's DCF valuation?

Telus International Cda Inc (TIXT.TO) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 18, 2025, Telus International Cda Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $9.58 per share. With the current market price at $4.94, this represents a potential upside of 93.9%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $6.41
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $9.58
Potential Upside (5-year) 29.7%
Potential Upside (10-year) 93.9%
Discount Rate (WACC) 4.4% - 12.2%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $2658 million in 12-2024 to $4886 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 6.3%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 2658 2%
12-2025 2757 4%
12-2026 2852 3%
12-2027 3012 6%
12-2028 3170 5%
12-2029 3471 9%
12-2030 3777 9%
12-2031 4010 6%
12-2032 4333 8%
12-2033 4545 5%
12-2034 4886 7%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -2% in 12-2024 to 1% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 (61) -2%
12-2025 (8) 0%
12-2026 (1) 0%
12-2027 6 0%
12-2028 14 0%
12-2029 24 1%
12-2030 26 1%
12-2031 27 1%
12-2032 29 1%
12-2033 31 1%
12-2034 33 1%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $91 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 4% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 101
12-2026 104
12-2027 107
12-2028 114
12-2029 121
12-2030 129

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 64
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 9

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2025 171 (3) 82 41 51
2026 246 (1) 113 15 119
2027 267 3 119 15 131
2028 294 6 125 36 126
2029 330 11 137 50 132

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 4.4% - 12.2%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 2.5% - 4.1%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 5.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 6.41 29.7%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 9.58 93.9%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 1.17 -76.3%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 4.38 -11.4%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $2,314M
  • 10-Year Model: $2,790M

Investment Conclusion

Is Telus International Cda Inc (TIXT.TO) a buy or a sell? Telus International Cda Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Telus International Cda Inc (TIXT.TO) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 93.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -2% to 1%)
  • Steady revenue growth (6.3% CAGR)

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $4.94.