What is TIXC's DCF valuation?

Tix Corp (TIXC) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of April 4, 2026, Tix Corp has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of -15797979.7%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -17631955.2%
Potential Upside (10-year) -15797979.7%
Discount Rate (WACC) 4.9% - 5.3%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 12-2020 to $3 million by 12-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4.1%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2020 2 85%
12-2021 2 6%
12-2022 2 6%
12-2023 2 4%
12-2024 2 3%
12-2025 2 2%
12-2026 2 3%
12-2027 3 3%
12-2028 3 4%
12-2029 3 2%
12-2030 3 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -241% in 12-2020 to -180% by 12-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2020 (5) -241%
12-2021 (5) -223%
12-2022 (5) -214%
12-2023 (5) -205%
12-2024 (5) -196%
12-2025 (4) -188%
12-2026 (5) -187%
12-2027 (5) -185%
12-2028 (5) -183%
12-2029 (5) -182%
12-2030 (5) -180%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 1% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2021 0
12-2022 0
12-2023 0
12-2024 0
12-2025 0
12-2026 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 0
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 14

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2021 (3) (0) 0 (0) (3)
2022 (5) (0) 0 0 (5)
2023 (5) (0) 0 0 (5)
2024 (5) (0) 0 (0) (4)
2025 (5) (0) 0 0 (4)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 4.9% - 5.3%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 4.7%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 3.8x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -17631955.2%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -15797979.7%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 NaN%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 NaN%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(305)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(273)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Tix Corp (TIXC) a buy or a sell? Tix Corp is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Tix Corp (TIXC) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -15797979.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -241% to -180%)
  • Steady revenue growth (4.1% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.