What is SUPP.L's DCF valuation?

Schroder UK Public Private Trust PLC (SUPP.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 29, 2025, Schroder UK Public Private Trust PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $12.97, this represents a potential upside of -2927.6%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -3009.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) -2927.6%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.3% - 10.9%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2022 (175) 241%
12-2023 (184) 5%
12-2024 (188) 2%
12-2025 (192) 2%
12-2026 (196) 2%
12-2027 (200) 2%
12-2028 (205) 3%
12-2029 (215) 5%
12-2030 (219) 2%
12-2031 (224) 2%
12-2032 (231) 3%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 102% in 12-2022 to -19065% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2022 (178) 102%
12-2023 (152) -15191%
12-2024 (155) -15485%
12-2025 (158) -15818%
12-2026 (161) -16126%
12-2027 (164) -16440%
12-2028 (169) -16877%
12-2029 (177) -17710%
12-2030 (181) -18062%
12-2031 (184) -18438%
12-2032 (191) -19065%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2023 0
12-2024 0
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0
12-2028 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables (0)
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2023 (187) (36) (0) (0) (152)
2024 (191) (36) (0) (0) (155)
2025 (195) (37) (0) 0 (158)
2026 (199) (38) (0) (0) (161)
2027 (203) (39) (0) 0 (164)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.3% - 10.9%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 4.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -3009.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -2927.6%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(2,758)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(2,682)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Schroder UK Public Private Trust PLC (SUPP.L) a buy or a sell? Schroder UK Public Private Trust PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Schroder UK Public Private Trust PLC (SUPP.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -2927.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $12.97.