What is STE's DCF valuation?

Steris plc (STE) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of April 4, 2026, Steris plc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $388.71 per share. With the current market price at $218.71, this represents a potential upside of 77.7%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $293.03
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $388.71
Potential Upside (5-year) 34.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 77.7%
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.8% - 9.0%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $5460 million in 03-2025 to $11154 million by 03-2035, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.4%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
03-2025 5460 6%
03-2026 5964 9%
03-2027 6373 7%
03-2028 6708 5%
03-2029 7301 9%
03-2030 7759 6%
03-2031 8478 9%
03-2032 9002 6%
03-2033 9768 9%
03-2034 10558 8%
03-2035 11154 6%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 11% in 03-2025 to 23% by 03-2035, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
03-2025 612 11%
03-2026 796 13%
03-2027 981 15%
03-2028 1163 17%
03-2029 1400 19%
03-2030 1624 21%
03-2031 1803 21%
03-2032 1944 22%
03-2033 2141 22%
03-2034 2348 22%
03-2035 2517 23%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $324 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 7% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
03-2026 360
03-2027 392
03-2028 413
03-2029 444
03-2030 478
03-2031 514

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 70
Days Inventory 81
Days Payables 34

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
3M/2026 370 60 105 53 153
2027 1760 296 447 75 942
2028 2023 351 470 36 1166
2029 2371 423 512 150 1286
2030 2703 490 544 87 1582

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 6.8% - 9.0%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 14.7x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 293.03 34.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 388.71 77.7%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 285.35 30.5%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 374.44 71.2%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $30,215M
  • 10-Year Model: $39,600M

Investment Conclusion

Is Steris plc (STE) a buy or a sell? Steris plc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Steris plc (STE) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 77.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from 11% to 23%)
  • Steady revenue growth (7.4% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $218.71.