As of June 19, 2025, Schneider National Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $15.09 to $54.55 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $27.92 | +16.7% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $24.86 | +3.9% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $24.32 | +1.7% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $15.09 | -36.9% |
| Earnings Power Value | $54.55 | +128.0% |
Is Schneider National Inc (SNDR) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $23.92, the stock appears to be moderately undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Schneider National Inc's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| Equity market risk premium | 4.6% | 5.6% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| Cost of equity | 7.8% | 10.0% |
| Cost of debt | 4.2% | 4.6% |
| Tax rate | 23.8% | 24.6% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| After-tax WACC | 7.3% | 9.3% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $25 | $4,832M | 83.2% |
| 10-Year Growth | $28 | $5,370M | 68.8% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $32 | $6,174M | 86.9% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $33 | $6,233M | 73.1% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $818M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.3% - 7.3% |
| Enterprise Value | $8,819M - $11,267M |
| Net Debt | $471M |
| Equity Value | $8,348M - $10,796M |
| Outstanding Shares | 175M |
| Fair Value | $48 - $62 |
| Selected Fair Value | $54.55 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $4198M |
| Enterprise Value | $4668M |
| Trailing P/E | 33.69 |
| Forward P/E | 26.08 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 7.30 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 158.79% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | -36.12% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.12 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $8.38 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $6.21 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $4.86 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $2.26 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $5.45 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $27.17 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Schneider National Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $27.17, which is approximately 13.6% above the current market price of $23.92.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Schneider National Inc is currently moderately undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.