What is SIS.L's Intrinsic value?

Science in Sport PLC (SIS.L) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 31, 2025, Science in Sport PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $55.99 to $55.99 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Earnings Power Value $55.99 +68.1%

Is Science in Sport PLC (SIS.L) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $33.30, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Science in Sport PLC's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 4.0% 4.5%
Equity market risk premium 6.0% 7.0%
Adjusted beta 0.39 0.41
Cost of equity 6.3% 7.8%
Cost of debt 7.0% 7.0%
Tax rate 3.7% 6.8%
Debt/Equity ratio 0.18 0.18
After-tax WACC 6.4% 7.6%

Valuation Methods

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $10M
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.6% - 6.4%
Enterprise Value $128M - $153M
Net Debt $12M
Equity Value $116M - $142M
Outstanding Shares 2M
Fair Value $50 - $61
Selected Fair Value $55.99

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $77M
Enterprise Value $88M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 0.00
Trailing EV/EBITDA 7.30
Current Dividend Yield 0.00%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.18

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Earnings Power Value 100% $5.60
Weighted Average 100% $55.99

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Science in Sport PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $55.99, which is approximately 68.1% above the current market price of $33.30.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (-18% to -3% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Conservative capital structure (Debt/Equity of 0.18)

Given these factors, we believe Science in Sport PLC is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.