As of June 12, 2025, Siili Solutions Oyj's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $7.98 to $45.28 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $7.98 | +28.6% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $8.67 | +39.9% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $9.42 | +52.0% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $26.21 | +322.8% |
| Earnings Power Value | $45.28 | +630.3% |
Is Siili Solutions Oyj (SIILI.HE) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $6.20, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Siili Solutions Oyj's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 2.7% | 3.2% |
| Equity market risk premium | 5.7% | 6.7% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| Cost of equity | 5.5% | 7.6% |
| Cost of debt | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Tax rate | 15.7% | 23.7% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| After-tax WACC | 5.0% | 6.7% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $9 | $67M | 88.2% |
| 10-Year Growth | $8 | $62M | 76.4% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $4 | $28M | 72.0% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $4 | $33M | 55.5% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $21M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.7% - 5.0% |
| Enterprise Value | $312M - $419M |
| Net Debt | $(3)M |
| Equity Value | $315M - $422M |
| Outstanding Shares | 8M |
| Fair Value | $39 - $52 |
| Selected Fair Value | $45.28 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $50M |
| Enterprise Value | $47M |
| Trailing P/E | 12.71 |
| Forward P/E | 19.79 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 6.95 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 572.60% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 11.03% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.26 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $2.39 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $2.17 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $1.88 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $3.93 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $4.53 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $14.91 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Siili Solutions Oyj's weighted average intrinsic value is $14.91, which is approximately 140.4% above the current market price of $6.20.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Siili Solutions Oyj is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.