What is SGMO's DCF valuation?

Sangamo Therapeutics Inc (SGMO) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 27, 2025, Sangamo Therapeutics Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.47, this represents a potential upside of -2569.8%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -2601.9%
Potential Upside (10-year) -2569.8%
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.6% - 9.5%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $58 million in 12-2024 to $83 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.6%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 58 67%
12-2025 62 7%
12-2026 63 2%
12-2027 68 6%
12-2028 69 2%
12-2029 70 2%
12-2030 72 2%
12-2031 77 7%
12-2032 79 3%
12-2033 82 3%
12-2034 83 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -169% in 12-2024 to -169% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 (98) -169%
12-2025 (105) -169%
12-2026 (108) -169%
12-2027 (114) -169%
12-2028 (117) -169%
12-2029 (119) -169%
12-2030 (121) -169%
12-2031 (130) -169%
12-2032 (134) -169%
12-2033 (138) -169%
12-2034 (141) -169%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $16 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 13% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 15
12-2026 12
12-2027 9
12-2028 7
12-2029 9
12-2030 9

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 6
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2025 (73) (0) 6 12 (90)
2026 (103) (0) 8 (0) (110)
2027 (112) (0) 9 0 (121)
2028 (117) (0) 9 0 (126)
2029 (118) (0) 9 (0) (127)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 6.6% - 9.5%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 13.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -2601.9%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -2569.8%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(2,686)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(2,652)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Sangamo Therapeutics Inc (SGMO) a buy or a sell? Sangamo Therapeutics Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Sangamo Therapeutics Inc (SGMO) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -2569.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (3.6% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.47.