As of May 23, 2025, Saietta Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.65, this represents a potential upside of -390132242.6%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -16735976.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -390132242.6% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.0% - 9.6% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 03-2023 to $21153 million by 03-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 152.6%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2023 | 2 | 52% |
| 03-2024 | 8 | 301% |
| 03-2025 | 42 | 396% |
| 03-2026 | 118 | 181% |
| 03-2027 | 292 | 148% |
| 03-2028 | 687 | 136% |
| 03-2029 | 1507 | 119% |
| 03-2030 | 3151 | 109% |
| 03-2031 | 6257 | 99% |
| 03-2032 | 11832 | 89% |
| 03-2033 | 21153 | 79% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -948% in 03-2023 to -902% by 03-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2023 | (20) | -948% |
| 03-2024 | (78) | -925% |
| 03-2025 | (385) | -920% |
| 03-2026 | (1,077) | -915% |
| 03-2027 | (2,659) | -911% |
| 03-2028 | (6,232) | -906% |
| 03-2029 | (13,649) | -906% |
| 03-2030 | (28,508) | -905% |
| 03-2031 | (56,560) | -904% |
| 03-2032 | (106,863) | -903% |
| 03-2033 | (190,880) | -902% |
with a 5-year average of $4 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 432% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 03-2024 | 11 |
| 03-2025 | 47 |
| 03-2026 | 148 |
| 03-2027 | 399 |
| 03-2028 | 990 |
| 03-2029 | 2284 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 314 |
| Days Inventory | 612 |
| Days Payables | 602 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2024 | (33) | (2) | 18 | 4 | (53) |
| 2025 | (334) | (17) | 181 | 52 | (549) |
| 2026 | (916) | (47) | 508 | 40 | (1,417) |
| 2027 | (2,230) | (116) | 1260 | 203 | (3,577) |
| 2028 | (5,169) | (271) | 2967 | 437 | (8,302) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -16735976.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -390132242.6% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Saietta Group PLC (SED.L) a buy or a sell? Saietta Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Saietta Group PLC (SED.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -390132242.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.65.