As of June 14, 2025, Sebino SpA's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $5.69 to $9.89 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $9.89 | +37.7% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $9.62 | +33.9% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $5.69 | -20.8% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $6.39 | -11.1% |
| Earnings Power Value | $8.58 | +19.5% |
Is Sebino SpA (SEB.MI) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $7.18, the stock appears to be moderately undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Sebino SpA's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 3.7% | 4.2% |
| Equity market risk premium | 8.3% | 9.3% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| Cost of equity | 8.0% | 10.0% |
| Cost of debt | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax rate | 26.7% | 27.9% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| After-tax WACC | 7.2% | 8.8% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $10 | $117M | 77.0% |
| 10-Year Growth | $10 | $121M | 57.7% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $7 | $75M | 64.1% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $8 | $90M | 43.1% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $8M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 8.8% - 7.2% |
| Enterprise Value | $92M - $114M |
| Net Debt | $(13)M |
| Equity Value | $105M - $126M |
| Outstanding Shares | 13M |
| Fair Value | $8 - $9 |
| Selected Fair Value | $8.58 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $97M |
| Enterprise Value | $84M |
| Trailing P/E | 14.58 |
| Forward P/E | 13.67 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 6.05 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 62.96% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.22 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $2.97 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $2.40 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $1.14 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $0.96 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $0.86 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $8.32 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Sebino SpA's weighted average intrinsic value is $8.32, which is approximately 15.9% above the current market price of $7.18.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Sebino SpA is currently moderately undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.