What is SCP.L's DCF valuation?

Schroder UK Mid Cap Fund PLC (SCP.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 28, 2025, Schroder UK Mid Cap Fund PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $626.00, this represents a potential upside of 364.3%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 330.1%
Potential Upside (10-year) 364.3%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.9% - 10.0%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $85 million in 09-2021 to $111 million by 09-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.7%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
09-2021 85 677%
09-2022 89 5%
09-2023 91 2%
09-2024 93 2%
09-2025 95 2%
09-2026 97 2%
09-2027 100 3%
09-2028 102 3%
09-2029 104 2%
09-2030 106 2%
09-2031 111 4%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 97% in 09-2021 to 79% by 09-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
09-2021 83 97%
09-2022 70 79%
09-2023 72 79%
09-2024 73 79%
09-2025 74 79%
09-2026 76 79%
09-2027 78 79%
09-2028 80 79%
09-2029 82 79%
09-2030 83 79%
09-2031 87 79%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
09-2022 0
09-2023 0
09-2024 0
09-2025 0
09-2026 0
09-2027 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 25
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2022 43 8 0 2 33
2023 88 17 0 (5) 76
2024 90 17 0 2 71
2025 92 17 0 1 74
2026 94 18 0 (1) 77

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.9% - 10.0%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 5.7x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 330.1%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 364.3%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 1935.21 209.1%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 2338.85 273.6%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $873M
  • 10-Year Model: $943M

Investment Conclusion

Is Schroder UK Mid Cap Fund PLC (SCP.L) a buy or a sell? Schroder UK Mid Cap Fund PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Schroder UK Mid Cap Fund PLC (SCP.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 364.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (2.7% CAGR)

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $626.00.