As of December 15, 2025, Silver Bear Resources Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.05, this represents a potential upside of -1627.1%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -1596.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -1627.1% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.9% - 24.5% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $10 million in 12-2024 to $14 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 10 | 41% |
| 12-2025 | 11 | 7% |
| 12-2026 | 11 | 3% |
| 12-2027 | 12 | 7% |
| 12-2028 | 12 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 12 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 13 | 3% |
| 12-2031 | 13 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 13 | 5% |
| 12-2033 | 14 | 2% |
| 12-2034 | 14 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -669% in 12-2024 to -635% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | (67) | -669% |
| 12-2025 | (71) | -662% |
| 12-2026 | (72) | -656% |
| 12-2027 | (77) | -650% |
| 12-2028 | (77) | -645% |
| 12-2029 | (78) | -639% |
| 12-2030 | (80) | -638% |
| 12-2031 | (82) | -638% |
| 12-2032 | (86) | -637% |
| 12-2033 | (87) | -636% |
| 12-2034 | (89) | -635% |
with a 5-year average of $11 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 68% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 11 |
| 12-2026 | 11 |
| 12-2027 | 11 |
| 12-2028 | 11 |
| 12-2029 | 8 |
| 12-2030 | 8 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 593 |
| Days Payables | 43 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2025 | 0 | (0) | 2 | (3) | 1 |
| 2026 | 1 | (0) | 7 | 4 | (11) |
| 2027 | 1 | (0) | 8 | 1 | (8) |
| 2028 | 1 | (0) | 8 | (3) | (4) |
| 2029 | (1) | (0) | 8 | 0 | (10) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1596.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1627.1% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Silver Bear Resources Inc (SBR.TO) a buy or a sell? Silver Bear Resources Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Silver Bear Resources Inc (SBR.TO) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -1627.1%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.05.