What is SAKL's DCF valuation?

Sack Lunch Productions Inc (SAKL) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 21, 2025, Sack Lunch Productions Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.01, this represents a potential upside of -153533.5%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -214251.9%
Potential Upside (10-year) -153533.5%
Discount Rate (WACC) 3.7% - 4.1%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 12-2010 to $3 million by 12-2020, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4.1%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2010 2 6%
12-2011 2 4%
12-2012 2 2%
12-2013 3 2%
12-2014 3 4%
12-2015 3 2%
12-2016 3 2%
12-2017 3 2%
12-2018 3 2%
12-2019 3 3%
12-2020 3 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -54% in 12-2010 to -28% by 12-2020, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2010 (1) -54%
12-2011 (1) -37%
12-2012 (1) -35%
12-2013 (1) -33%
12-2014 (1) -31%
12-2015 (1) -30%
12-2016 (1) -29%
12-2017 (1) -29%
12-2018 (1) -29%
12-2019 (1) -29%
12-2020 (1) -28%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 11% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2011 0
12-2012 0
12-2013 0
12-2014 0
12-2015 0
12-2016 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 6
Days Inventory 30
Days Payables 320

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
3M/2011 (0) (0) 0 0 (0)
2012 (1) (0) 0 (0) (0)
2013 (0) (0) 0 0 (0)
2014 (0) (0) 0 0 (0)
2015 (0) (0) 0 0 (0)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 3.7% - 4.1%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 2.0% - 3.5%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 42.0x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -214251.9%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -153533.5%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(33)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(23)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Sack Lunch Productions Inc (SAKL) a buy or a sell? Sack Lunch Productions Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Sack Lunch Productions Inc (SAKL) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -153533.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -54% to -28%)
  • Steady revenue growth (4.1% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.01.