What is RPT's DCF valuation?

RPT Realty (RPT) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 31, 2025, RPT Realty has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $2.73, this represents a potential upside of 45350.8%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 41370.2%
Potential Upside (10-year) 45350.8%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.1% - 8.4%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 (7) 114%
12-2025 27 -493%
12-2026 231 762%
12-2027 244 6%
12-2028 250 2%
12-2029 255 2%
12-2030 260 2%
12-2031 265 2%
12-2032 271 2%
12-2033 286 6%
12-2034 305 7%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 1363% in 12-2024 to 1353% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 (93) 1363%
12-2025 363 1353%
12-2026 3130 1353%
12-2027 3308 1353%
12-2028 3382 1353%
12-2029 3450 1353%
12-2030 3519 1353%
12-2031 3589 1353%
12-2032 3661 1353%
12-2033 3867 1353%
12-2034 4133 1353%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0
12-2028 0
12-2029 0
12-2030 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 31
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 7

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2025 377 2 0 7 368
2026 3250 16 0 47 3187
2027 3436 17 0 (13) 3431
2028 3513 18 0 15 3480
2029 3583 18 0 (3) 3568

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.1% - 8.4%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 13.6x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 41370.2%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 45350.8%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 995.92 36380.6%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 1128.32 41230.3%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $52,084M
  • 10-Year Model: $57,020M

Investment Conclusion

Is RPT Realty (RPT) a buy or a sell? RPT Realty is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, RPT Realty (RPT) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 45350.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $2.73.