What is ROBIT.HE's DCF valuation?

Robit Plc (ROBIT.HE) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 21, 2025, Robit Plc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $3.23 per share. With the current market price at $1.26, this represents a potential upside of 155.3%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $1.72
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $3.23
Potential Upside (5-year) 36.1%
Potential Upside (10-year) 155.3%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.3% - 9.6%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $90 million in 12-2024 to $159 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.9%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 90 3%
12-2025 96 6%
12-2026 101 6%
12-2027 108 6%
12-2028 117 8%
12-2029 125 7%
12-2030 127 2%
12-2031 136 7%
12-2032 144 6%
12-2033 154 7%
12-2034 159 3%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 1% in 12-2024 to 6% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 1 1%
12-2025 2 2%
12-2026 3 3%
12-2027 4 4%
12-2028 6 5%
12-2029 8 6%
12-2030 8 6%
12-2031 8 6%
12-2032 9 6%
12-2033 10 6%
12-2034 10 6%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 2% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 2
12-2026 1
12-2027 1
12-2028 1
12-2029 2
12-2030 2

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 41
Days Inventory 226
Days Payables 47

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2025 4 0 1 1 1
2026 6 1 2 2 2
2027 7 1 2 2 3
2028 10 1 2 3 4
2029 12 2 2 3 6

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.3% - 9.6%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.5% - 1.5%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 7.6x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 1.72 36.1%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 3.23 155.3%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 2.07 63.9%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 3.21 155.1%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $58M
  • 10-Year Model: $90M

Investment Conclusion

Is Robit Plc (ROBIT.HE) a buy or a sell? Robit Plc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Robit Plc (ROBIT.HE) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 155.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from 1% to 6%)
  • Steady revenue growth (5.9% CAGR)

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $1.26.