As of June 8, 2025, Rambler Metals and Mining PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $5.38, this represents a potential upside of -8850.9%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -7942.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -8850.9% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 3.6% - 6.5% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $28 million in 12-2021 to $73 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10.1%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 28 | 16% |
| 12-2022 | 32 | 13% |
| 12-2023 | 35 | 10% |
| 12-2024 | 40 | 13% |
| 12-2025 | 44 | 10% |
| 12-2026 | 48 | 10% |
| 12-2027 | 52 | 9% |
| 12-2028 | 57 | 9% |
| 12-2029 | 62 | 9% |
| 12-2030 | 68 | 9% |
| 12-2031 | 73 | 8% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -50% in 12-2021 to -33% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | (14) | -50% |
| 12-2022 | (17) | -54% |
| 12-2023 | (17) | -49% |
| 12-2024 | (18) | -45% |
| 12-2025 | (18) | -41% |
| 12-2026 | (18) | -37% |
| 12-2027 | (19) | -36% |
| 12-2028 | (20) | -35% |
| 12-2029 | (21) | -34% |
| 12-2030 | (23) | -34% |
| 12-2031 | (24) | -33% |
with a 5-year average of $10 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 34% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 10 |
| 12-2023 | 11 |
| 12-2024 | 12 |
| 12-2025 | 14 |
| 12-2026 | 13 |
| 12-2027 | 15 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 32 |
| Days Payables | 71 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2022 | (5) | (3) | 5 | 0 | (8) |
| 2023 | (10) | (5) | 12 | 0 | (16) |
| 2024 | (9) | (6) | 13 | (1) | (16) |
| 2025 | (7) | (6) | 15 | 0 | (16) |
| 2026 | (7) | (5) | 16 | (0) | (17) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -7942.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -8850.9% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Rambler Metals and Mining PLC (RMM.L) a buy or a sell? Rambler Metals and Mining PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Rambler Metals and Mining PLC (RMM.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -8850.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $5.38.