What is RHI's Intrinsic value?

Robert Half International Inc (RHI) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 23, 2025, Robert Half International Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $43.98 to $74.59 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $60.18 +30.5%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $47.99 +4.1%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $50.48 +9.5%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $43.98 -4.6%
Earnings Power Value $74.59 +61.8%

Is Robert Half International Inc (RHI) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $46.11, the stock appears to be moderately undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Robert Half International Inc's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 4.6% 5.6%
Adjusted beta 0.71 0.89
Cost of equity 7.1% 9.8%
Cost of debt 4.5% 4.5%
Tax rate 27.1% 27.9%
Debt/Equity ratio 1 1
After-tax WACC 5.2% 6.5%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 5.9% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $5,796 (FY12-2024) to $8,541 (FY12-2034)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 4% to 4%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 1% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $48 $4,358M 89.0%
10-Year Growth $60 $5,601M 81.2%
5-Year EBITDA $30 $2,501M 80.8%
10-Year EBITDA $33 $2,821M 62.7%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 107.4%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 8.5%
  • Long-term growth rate: 3.5%
  • Fair value: $50.48 (9.5% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 9.8% (Low) to 7.1% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 2.5% (Low) to 4.5% (High)
  • Fair value range: $19 to $69
  • Selected fair value: $43.98 (-4.6% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $409M
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.5% - 5.2%
Enterprise Value $6,254M - $7,889M
Net Debt $(538)M
Equity Value $6,792M - $8,427M
Outstanding Shares 102M
Fair Value $67 - $83
Selected Fair Value $74.59

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $4704M
Enterprise Value $4166M
Trailing P/E 22.92
Forward P/E 17.97
Trailing EV/EBITDA 7.55
Current Dividend Yield 450.23%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 9.04%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.96

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $18.05
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $12.00
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $10.10
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $6.60
Earnings Power Value 10% $7.46
Weighted Average 100% $54.20

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Robert Half International Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $54.20, which is approximately 17.6% above the current market price of $46.11.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (4% to 4% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Historical dividend growth of 9.04%

Given these factors, we believe Robert Half International Inc is currently moderately undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.