What is RCMT's Intrinsic value?

R C M Technologies Inc (RCMT) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 7, 2025, R C M Technologies Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $27.88 to $46.10 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $46.10 +97.4%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $33.25 +42.4%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $33.40 +43.0%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $27.88 +19.4%
Earnings Power Value $37.29 +59.7%

Is R C M Technologies Inc (RCMT) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $23.35, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate R C M Technologies Inc's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 4.6% 5.6%
Adjusted beta 0.37 0.72
Cost of equity 5.6% 8.9%
Cost of debt 4.8% 6.2%
Tax rate 25.5% 26.5%
Debt/Equity ratio 0.22 0.22
After-tax WACC 5.2% 8.1%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 6.7% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $278 (FY12-2024) to $565 (FY12-2034)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 5% to 5%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 1% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $33 $266M 77.5%
10-Year Growth $46 $361M 63.6%
5-Year EBITDA $36 $289M 79.3%
10-Year EBITDA $46 $358M 63.3%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 0.0%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 7.2%
  • Long-term growth rate: 1.0%
  • Fair value: $33.40 (43.0% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 8.9% (Low) to 5.6% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.5% (Low) to 1.5% (High)
  • Fair value range: $15 to $40
  • Selected fair value: $27.88 (19.4% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $19M
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.1% - 5.2%
Enterprise Value $232M - $359M
Net Debt $20M
Equity Value $212M - $339M
Outstanding Shares 7M
Fair Value $29 - $46
Selected Fair Value $37.29

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $173M
Enterprise Value $192M
Trailing P/E 12.72
Forward P/E 10.18
Trailing EV/EBITDA 9.25
Current Dividend Yield 0.00%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.22

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $13.83
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $8.31
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $6.68
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $4.18
Earnings Power Value 10% $3.73
Weighted Average 100% $36.73

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, R C M Technologies Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $36.73, which is approximately 57.3% above the current market price of $23.35.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (5% to 5% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Conservative capital structure (Debt/Equity of 0.22)

Given these factors, we believe R C M Technologies Inc is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.