What is RBD.L's DCF valuation?

Reabold Resources PLC (RBD.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 31, 2025, Reabold Resources PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.04, this represents a potential upside of 0.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 0.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 0.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) -

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $1 million in 12-2022 to $1 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.0%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2022 1 52%
12-2023 1 5%
12-2024 1 3%
12-2025 1 2%
12-2026 1 2%
12-2027 1 2%
12-2028 1 3%
12-2029 1 2%
12-2030 1 2%
12-2031 1 2%
12-2032 1 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -8% in 12-2022 to -5% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2022 (0) -8%
12-2023 (0) -4%
12-2024 (0) -4%
12-2025 (0) -4%
12-2026 (0) -4%
12-2027 (0) -4%
12-2028 (0) -4%
12-2029 (0) -4%
12-2030 (0) -4%
12-2031 (0) -5%
12-2032 (0) -5%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 361% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2023 2
12-2024 2
12-2025 2
12-2026 2
12-2027 2
12-2028 2

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 27
Days Inventory 6
Days Payables 76

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2023 3 (0) 1 0 1
2024 5 (0) 2 (0) 3
2025 5 (0) 2 (0) 2
2026 5 (0) 2 0 3
2027 5 (0) 2 (0) 3

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): - (selected: -)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: - (selected: -)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 1.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.16 290.6%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.24 471.5%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $31M
  • 10-Year Model: $35M

Investment Conclusion

Is Reabold Resources PLC (RBD.L) a buy or a sell? Reabold Resources PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Reabold Resources PLC (RBD.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 0.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -8% to -5%)

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.04.