What is PVF.UN.V's Intrinsic value?

Partners Value Investments LP (PVF.UN.V) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 21, 2025, Partners Value Investments LP's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.58 to $90.77 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $0.58 -99.6%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $13.71 -89.9%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $50.48 -62.9%
Earnings Power Value $90.77 -33.3%

Is Partners Value Investments LP (PVF.UN.V) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $136.00, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Partners Value Investments LP's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 5.1% 6.1%
Adjusted beta 0.54 0.62
Cost of equity 6.6% 8.7%
Cost of debt 5.0% 5.0%
Tax rate 6.7% 12.5%
Debt/Equity ratio 0.19 0.19
After-tax WACC 6.3% 8.0%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 7.2% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $97 (FY12-2023) to $123 (FY12-2033)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 26% to 31%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 0% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $0 $1,069M 87.2%
10-Year Growth $(1,234) $1,032M 73.7%
5-Year EBITDA $(1,234) $631M 78.3%
10-Year EBITDA $(1,234) $670M 59.5%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 13.5%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 7.6%
  • Long-term growth rate: 4.0%
  • Fair value: $13.71 (-89.9% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 8.7% (Low) to 6.6% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 3.0% (Low) to 5.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $14 to $61
  • Selected fair value: $50.48 (-62.9% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $368M
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.0% - 6.3%
Enterprise Value $4,604M - $5,822M
Net Debt $1,042M
Equity Value $3,562M - $4,780M
Outstanding Shares 62M
Fair Value $57 - $77
Selected Fair Value $90.77

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $8489M
Enterprise Value $9904M
Trailing P/E 91.26
Forward P/E 223.62
Trailing EV/EBITDA 15.55
Current Dividend Yield 14.31%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) -16.89%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.19

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 36% $0.15
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 29% $2.74
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 21% $7.57
Earnings Power Value 14% $9.08
Weighted Average 100% $27.91

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Partners Value Investments LP's weighted average intrinsic value is $27.91, which is approximately 79.5% below the current market price of $136.00.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (26% to 31% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Conservative capital structure (Debt/Equity of 0.19)

Given these factors, we believe Partners Value Investments LP is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.