What is PRS.WA's DCF valuation?

Prymus SA (PRS.WA) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 2, 2025, Prymus SA has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $7.67 per share. With the current market price at $5.95, this represents a potential upside of 28.9%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $7.38
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $7.67
Potential Upside (5-year) 24.1%
Potential Upside (10-year) 28.9%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.7% - 9.7%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $45 million in 12-2024 to $42 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately -0.7%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 45 6%
12-2025 32 -28%
12-2026 34 5%
12-2027 35 3%
12-2028 36 4%
12-2029 38 4%
12-2030 39 2%
12-2031 40 3%
12-2032 40 2%
12-2033 42 3%
12-2034 42 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 16% in 12-2024 to 16% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 7 16%
12-2025 5 16%
12-2026 5 16%
12-2027 6 16%
12-2028 6 16%
12-2029 6 16%
12-2030 6 16%
12-2031 6 16%
12-2032 6 16%
12-2033 7 16%
12-2034 7 16%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0
12-2028 0
12-2029 0
12-2030 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 31
Days Inventory 38
Days Payables 46

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2025 4 1 0 (0) 4
2026 6 1 0 (0) 5
2027 6 1 0 0 5
2028 6 1 0 0 5
2029 7 1 0 0 5

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.7% - 9.7%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 1.0% - 3.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 10.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 7.38 24.1%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 7.67 28.9%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 6.73 13.1%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 7.15 20.2%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $70M
  • 10-Year Model: $73M

Investment Conclusion

Is Prymus SA (PRS.WA) a buy or a sell? Prymus SA is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Prymus SA (PRS.WA) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 28.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $5.95.