What is PRS.MC's DCF valuation?

Promotora de Informaciones SA (PRS.MC) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of December 15, 2025, Promotora de Informaciones SA has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.85 per share. With the current market price at $0.36, this represents a potential upside of 136.8%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.60
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.85
Potential Upside (5-year) 66.5%
Potential Upside (10-year) 136.8%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.9% - 9.9%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $881 million in 12-2024 to $1481 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.3%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 881 7%
12-2025 954 8%
12-2026 992 4%
12-2027 1012 2%
12-2028 1097 8%
12-2029 1183 8%
12-2030 1233 4%
12-2031 1329 8%
12-2032 1383 4%
12-2033 1428 3%
12-2034 1481 4%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -1% in 12-2024 to 2% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 (11) -1%
12-2025 16 2%
12-2026 16 2%
12-2027 17 2%
12-2028 18 2%
12-2029 19 2%
12-2030 20 2%
12-2031 22 2%
12-2032 23 2%
12-2033 23 2%
12-2034 24 2%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $46 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 6% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 48
12-2026 51
12-2027 52
12-2028 56
12-2029 60
12-2030 64

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 95
Days Inventory 60
Days Payables 221

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
3M/2025 40 1 14 (1) 26
2026 168 5 57 5 100
2027 171 6 58 4 103
2028 185 6 63 5 111
2029 200 6 68 8 117

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.9% - 9.9%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 3.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.60 66.5%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.85 136.8%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.13 -62.9%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.41 14.7%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $1,479M
  • 10-Year Model: $1,819M

Investment Conclusion

Is Promotora de Informaciones SA (PRS.MC) a buy or a sell? Promotora de Informaciones SA is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Promotora de Informaciones SA (PRS.MC) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 136.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -1% to 2%)
  • Steady revenue growth (5.3% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $0.36.