What is PRPO's DCF valuation?

Precipio Inc (PRPO) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 21, 2025, Precipio Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $11.30, this represents a potential upside of -1052.3%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -1027.8%
Potential Upside (10-year) -1052.3%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.5% - 7.4%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $19 million in 12-2024 to $93 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 17.2%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 19 22%
12-2025 24 29%
12-2026 29 23%
12-2027 36 23%
12-2028 43 19%
12-2029 51 18%
12-2030 59 15%
12-2031 66 13%
12-2032 74 12%
12-2033 84 14%
12-2034 93 11%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -23% in 12-2024 to -5% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 (4) -23%
12-2025 (4) -15%
12-2026 (4) -13%
12-2027 (4) -11%
12-2028 (4) -9%
12-2029 (4) -7%
12-2030 (4) -7%
12-2031 (4) -6%
12-2032 (5) -6%
12-2033 (5) -6%
12-2034 (5) -5%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 3% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 1
12-2028 1
12-2029 1
12-2030 1

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 29
Days Inventory 26
Days Payables 51

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2025 (3) (1) 1 0 (3)
2026 (5) (1) 1 1 (5)
2027 (5) (1) 1 0 (4)
2028 (4) (1) 1 0 (5)
2029 (4) (1) 2 1 (4)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.5% - 7.4%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 12.0x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -1027.8%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -1052.3%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(159)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(163)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Precipio Inc (PRPO) a buy or a sell? Precipio Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Precipio Inc (PRPO) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -1052.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -23% to -5%)
  • Steady revenue growth (17.2% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $11.30.