As of May 27, 2025, Anaplan Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $63.73, this represents a potential upside of -246.6%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -197.0% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -246.6% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.8% - 10.0% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $592 million in 01-2022 to $3872 million by 01-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 20.7%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 01-2022 | 592 | 32% |
| 01-2023 | 709 | 20% |
| 01-2024 | 915 | 29% |
| 01-2025 | 1212 | 32% |
| 01-2026 | 1523 | 26% |
| 01-2027 | 1840 | 21% |
| 01-2028 | 2197 | 19% |
| 01-2029 | 2554 | 16% |
| 01-2030 | 3016 | 18% |
| 01-2031 | 3447 | 14% |
| 01-2032 | 3872 | 12% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -34% in 01-2022 to -27% by 01-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 01-2022 | (204) | -34% |
| 01-2023 | (233) | -33% |
| 01-2024 | (289) | -32% |
| 01-2025 | (369) | -30% |
| 01-2026 | (447) | -29% |
| 01-2027 | (521) | -28% |
| 01-2028 | (617) | -28% |
| 01-2029 | (713) | -28% |
| 01-2030 | (836) | -28% |
| 01-2031 | (949) | -28% |
| 01-2032 | (1,058) | -27% |
with a 5-year average of $19 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 6% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 01-2023 | 24 |
| 01-2024 | 31 |
| 01-2025 | 42 |
| 01-2026 | 58 |
| 01-2027 | 75 |
| 01-2028 | 93 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 119 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 62 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2023 | (155) | (5) | 32 | 21 | (203) |
| 2024 | (256) | (8) | 56 | 64 | (367) |
| 2025 | (322) | (10) | 74 | 89 | (475) |
| 2026 | (383) | (13) | 93 | 91 | (554) |
| 2027 | (438) | (15) | 112 | 98 | (633) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -197.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -246.6% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Anaplan Inc (PLAN) a buy or a sell? Anaplan Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Anaplan Inc (PLAN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -246.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $63.73.