As of May 27, 2025, PiezoMotor Uppsala publ AB has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $35.80, this represents a potential upside of -14592.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -2638.8% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -14592.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 7.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $33 million in 12-2021 to $9465 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 76.1%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 33 | 21% |
| 12-2022 | 141 | 323% |
| 12-2023 | 209 | 49% |
| 12-2024 | 409 | 95% |
| 12-2025 | 721 | 76% |
| 12-2026 | 1216 | 69% |
| 12-2027 | 1985 | 63% |
| 12-2028 | 3021 | 52% |
| 12-2029 | 4565 | 51% |
| 12-2030 | 6633 | 45% |
| 12-2031 | 9465 | 43% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -80% in 12-2021 to -43% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | (27) | -80% |
| 12-2022 | (81) | -58% |
| 12-2023 | (114) | -54% |
| 12-2024 | (209) | -51% |
| 12-2025 | (347) | -48% |
| 12-2026 | (550) | -45% |
| 12-2027 | (887) | -45% |
| 12-2028 | (1,333) | -44% |
| 12-2029 | (1,990) | -44% |
| 12-2030 | (2,856) | -43% |
| 12-2031 | (4,026) | -43% |
with a 5-year average of $9 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 28% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 16 |
| 12-2023 | 28 |
| 12-2024 | 49 |
| 12-2025 | 88 |
| 12-2026 | 151 |
| 12-2027 | 255 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 77 |
| Days Inventory | 176 |
| Days Payables | 78 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | (87) | (22) | 39 | 53 | (158) |
| 2023 | (117) | (31) | 59 | 17 | (161) |
| 2024 | (217) | (57) | 115 | 62 | (336) |
| 2025 | (353) | (94) | 202 | 125 | (585) |
| 2026 | (547) | (150) | 341 | 156 | (895) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2638.8% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -14592.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is PiezoMotor Uppsala publ AB (PIEZO.ST) a buy or a sell? PiezoMotor Uppsala publ AB is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, PiezoMotor Uppsala publ AB (PIEZO.ST) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -14592.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $35.80.