As of June 16, 2025, PCF Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $243.18 per share. With the current market price at $0.95, this represents a potential upside of 25497.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $97.11 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $243.18 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | 10122.6% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 25497.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.5% - 5.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $41 million in 09-2021 to $207 million by 09-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 17.6%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2021 | 41 | 3% |
| 09-2022 | 54 | 33% |
| 09-2023 | 69 | 28% |
| 09-2024 | 87 | 25% |
| 09-2025 | 105 | 21% |
| 09-2026 | 124 | 18% |
| 09-2027 | 142 | 15% |
| 09-2028 | 160 | 12% |
| 09-2029 | 176 | 10% |
| 09-2030 | 193 | 10% |
| 09-2031 | 207 | 7% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -8% in 09-2021 to -6% by 09-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2021 | (3) | -8% |
| 09-2022 | (3) | -6% |
| 09-2023 | (4) | -6% |
| 09-2024 | (5) | -6% |
| 09-2025 | (6) | -6% |
| 09-2026 | (8) | -6% |
| 09-2027 | (9) | -6% |
| 09-2028 | (10) | -6% |
| 09-2029 | (11) | -6% |
| 09-2030 | (12) | -6% |
| 09-2031 | (13) | -6% |
with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 5% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 09-2022 | 2 |
| 09-2023 | 2 |
| 09-2024 | 3 |
| 09-2025 | 3 |
| 09-2026 | 4 |
| 09-2027 | 5 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2022 | 8 | (0) | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 2023 | 21 | (1) | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 2024 | 26 | (1) | 4 | 0 | 23 |
| 2025 | 32 | (2) | 5 | 0 | 28 |
| 2026 | 38 | (2) | 6 | 0 | 34 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 97.11 | 10122.6% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 243.18 | 25497.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 79.32 | 8249.3% |
Is PCF Group PLC (PCF.L) a buy or a sell? PCF Group PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, PCF Group PLC (PCF.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 25497.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $0.95.