As of May 23, 2025, Powercell Sweden AB (publ) has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $24.38, this represents a potential upside of -350.0%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -428.8% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -350.0% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 7.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $334 million in 12-2024 to $2166 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 20.6%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 334 | 8% |
| 12-2025 | 437 | 31% |
| 12-2026 | 562 | 29% |
| 12-2027 | 714 | 27% |
| 12-2028 | 882 | 24% |
| 12-2029 | 1070 | 21% |
| 12-2030 | 1277 | 19% |
| 12-2031 | 1493 | 17% |
| 12-2032 | 1721 | 15% |
| 12-2033 | 1912 | 11% |
| 12-2034 | 2166 | 13% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -14% in 12-2024 to 3% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | (47) | -14% |
| 12-2025 | (48) | -11% |
| 12-2026 | (44) | -8% |
| 12-2027 | (35) | -5% |
| 12-2028 | (19) | -2% |
| 12-2029 | 6 | 1% |
| 12-2030 | 13 | 1% |
| 12-2031 | 23 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 35 | 2% |
| 12-2033 | 48 | 3% |
| 12-2034 | 65 | 3% |
with a 5-year average of $24 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 10% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 31 |
| 12-2026 | 39 |
| 12-2027 | 51 |
| 12-2028 | 63 |
| 12-2029 | 76 |
| 12-2030 | 93 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 158 |
| Days Inventory | 227 |
| Days Payables | 82 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2025 | (11) | (0) | 34 | 57 | (102) |
| 2026 | (2) | (0) | 58 | 76 | (136) |
| 2027 | 19 | (0) | 74 | 89 | (144) |
| 2028 | 48 | (0) | 91 | 104 | (147) |
| 2029 | 86 | 0 | 111 | 108 | (132) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -428.8% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -350.0% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Powercell Sweden AB (publ) (PCELL.ST) a buy or a sell? Powercell Sweden AB (publ) is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Powercell Sweden AB (publ) (PCELL.ST) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -350.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $24.38.