What is OTV2.L's Intrinsic value?

Octopus Titan VCT PLC (OTV2.L) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 29, 2025, Octopus Titan VCT PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.00 to $0.00 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside

Is Octopus Titan VCT PLC (OTV2.L) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $36.50, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Octopus Titan VCT PLC's intrinsic value, including:

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 4.0% 4.5%
Equity market risk premium 6.0% 7.0%
Adjusted beta 1.02 1.26
Cost of equity 10.1% 13.8%
Cost of debt 5.0% 5.0%
Tax rate 19.0% 19.0%
Debt/Equity ratio 1 1
After-tax WACC 7.1% 8.9%

Valuation Methods

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $605M
Enterprise Value $524M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 0.00
Trailing EV/EBITDA 9.55
Current Dividend Yield 792.72%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 15.08%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 1.15

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Weighted Average 100% $0.00

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Octopus Titan VCT PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $0.00, which is approximately 100.0% below the current market price of $36.50.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (124% to -19319% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Historical dividend growth of 15.08%

Given these factors, we believe Octopus Titan VCT PLC is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.