As of June 2, 2025, Osirium Technologies PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $2.20, this represents a potential upside of -22380.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -16776.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -22380.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.8% - 5.7% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 12-2022 to $8 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 14.9%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 2 | 30% |
| 12-2023 | 2 | 23% |
| 12-2024 | 3 | 21% |
| 12-2025 | 3 | 22% |
| 12-2026 | 4 | 17% |
| 12-2027 | 5 | 15% |
| 12-2028 | 5 | 13% |
| 12-2029 | 6 | 12% |
| 12-2030 | 7 | 11% |
| 12-2031 | 7 | 11% |
| 12-2032 | 8 | 10% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -153% in 12-2022 to -153% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | (3) | -153% |
| 12-2023 | (4) | -153% |
| 12-2024 | (4) | -153% |
| 12-2025 | (5) | -153% |
| 12-2026 | (6) | -153% |
| 12-2027 | (7) | -153% |
| 12-2028 | (8) | -153% |
| 12-2029 | (9) | -153% |
| 12-2030 | (10) | -153% |
| 12-2031 | (11) | -153% |
| 12-2032 | (12) | -153% |
with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 134% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 2 |
| 12-2024 | 3 |
| 12-2025 | 3 |
| 12-2026 | 4 |
| 12-2027 | 5 |
| 12-2028 | 6 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 45 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2023 | (1) | (0) | 2 | 0 | (2) |
| 2024 | (2) | (1) | 4 | 0 | (5) |
| 2025 | (3) | (1) | 5 | (0) | (7) |
| 2026 | (3) | (1) | 6 | 0 | (8) |
| 2027 | (4) | (2) | 6 | 0 | (8) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -16776.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -22380.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Osirium Technologies PLC (OSI.L) a buy or a sell? Osirium Technologies PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Osirium Technologies PLC (OSI.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -22380.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $2.20.