As of May 23, 2025, Oxford Metrics PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $11.62 to $122.73 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $66.15 | +9.7% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $46.64 | -22.7% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $122.73 | +103.5% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $11.62 | -80.7% |
| Earnings Power Value | $37.49 | -37.8% |
Is Oxford Metrics PLC (OMG.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $60.30, the stock appears to be fairly valued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Oxford Metrics PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.73 | 0.88 |
| Cost of equity | 8.4% | 11.2% |
| Cost of debt | 6.8% | 7.6% |
| Tax rate | 7.2% | 11.4% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| After-tax WACC | 8.3% | 10.9% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $47 | $37M | 83.0% |
| 10-Year Growth | $66 | $59M | 67.6% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $99 | $96M | 93.6% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $100 | $97M | 80.4% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $2M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.9% - 8.3% |
| Enterprise Value | $22M - $30M |
| Net Debt | $(17)M |
| Equity Value | $39M - $47M |
| Outstanding Shares | 1M |
| Fair Value | $34 - $41 |
| Selected Fair Value | $37.49 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $69M |
| Enterprise Value | $52M |
| Trailing P/E | 91.20 |
| Forward P/E | 18.29 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 13.70 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 505.35% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 12.55% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.05 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $19.84 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $11.66 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $24.55 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $1.74 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $3.75 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $61.54 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Oxford Metrics PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $61.54, which is approximately 2.1% above the current market price of $60.30.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Oxford Metrics PLC is currently fairly valued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.