As of June 18, 2025, New Zealand Energy Corp has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.26, this represents a potential upside of -646.9%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -683.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -646.9% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.0% - 5.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 12-2023 to $1 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately -6.7%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 2 | 58% |
| 12-2024 | 1 | -44% |
| 12-2025 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2026 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 1 | 5% |
| 12-2031 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 1 | 3% |
| 12-2033 | 1 | 5% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -101% in 12-2023 to -55% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | (2) | -101% |
| 12-2024 | (1) | -70% |
| 12-2025 | (1) | -67% |
| 12-2026 | (1) | -64% |
| 12-2027 | (1) | -60% |
| 12-2028 | (1) | -58% |
| 12-2029 | (1) | -57% |
| 12-2030 | (1) | -56% |
| 12-2031 | (1) | -56% |
| 12-2032 | (1) | -55% |
| 12-2033 | (1) | -55% |
with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 15% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 1 |
| 12-2025 | 1 |
| 12-2026 | 0 |
| 12-2027 | 0 |
| 12-2028 | 0 |
| 12-2029 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 90 |
| Days Inventory | 92 |
| Days Payables | 62 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2024 | (0) | (0) | 0 | 0 | (0) |
| 2025 | (0) | (0) | 0 | (0) | (0) |
| 2026 | (1) | (0) | 0 | (0) | (0) |
| 2027 | (1) | (0) | 0 | 0 | (1) |
| 2028 | (1) | (0) | 0 | (0) | (1) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -683.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -646.9% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ.V) a buy or a sell? New Zealand Energy Corp is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ.V) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -646.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.26.