As of December 15, 2025, Nass Valley Gateway Ltd has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.04, this represents a potential upside of -1075.0%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -1080.5% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -1075.0% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.5% - 6.5% |
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 0 | 66% |
| 12-2023 | 0 | 5% |
| 12-2024 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2026 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 0 | 5% |
| 12-2029 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2031 | 0 | 6% |
| 12-2032 | 0 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -14955% in 12-2022 to -277% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | (3) | -14955% |
| 12-2023 | (2) | -219% |
| 12-2024 | (2) | -223% |
| 12-2025 | (2) | -227% |
| 12-2026 | (2) | -231% |
| 12-2027 | (2) | -235% |
| 12-2028 | (2) | -247% |
| 12-2029 | (3) | -252% |
| 12-2030 | (3) | -257% |
| 12-2031 | (3) | -272% |
| 12-2032 | (3) | -277% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 0 |
| 12-2024 | 0 |
| 12-2025 | 0 |
| 12-2026 | 0 |
| 12-2027 | 0 |
| 12-2028 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 5,933 |
| Days Inventory | 959 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2023 | (1) | (0) | 0 | 0 | (1) |
| 2024 | (3) | (1) | 0 | (0) | (2) |
| 2025 | (3) | (1) | 0 | (0) | (2) |
| 2026 | (3) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (2) |
| 2027 | (3) | (1) | 0 | (0) | (2) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1080.5% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1075.0% |
Is Nass Valley Gateway Ltd (NVG.CN) a buy or a sell? Nass Valley Gateway Ltd is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Nass Valley Gateway Ltd (NVG.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -1075.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.04.