As of May 29, 2025, Verde Agritech PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.51, this represents a potential upside of -87250.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -12945.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -87250.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 8.9% - 14.4% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $22 million in 12-2024 to $13253 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 89.7%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 22 | 43% |
| 12-2025 | 65 | 202% |
| 12-2026 | 143 | 120% |
| 12-2027 | 315 | 120% |
| 12-2028 | 614 | 95% |
| 12-2029 | 1149 | 87% |
| 12-2030 | 2037 | 77% |
| 12-2031 | 3487 | 71% |
| 12-2032 | 5703 | 64% |
| 12-2033 | 8861 | 55% |
| 12-2034 | 13253 | 50% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -58% in 12-2024 to -37% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | (13) | -58% |
| 12-2025 | (29) | -44% |
| 12-2026 | (61) | -43% |
| 12-2027 | (129) | -41% |
| 12-2028 | (243) | -40% |
| 12-2029 | (438) | -38% |
| 12-2030 | (772) | -38% |
| 12-2031 | (1,311) | -38% |
| 12-2032 | (2,130) | -37% |
| 12-2033 | (3,287) | -37% |
| 12-2034 | (4,882) | -37% |
with a 5-year average of $10 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 18% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 12 |
| 12-2026 | 17 |
| 12-2027 | 20 |
| 12-2028 | 42 |
| 12-2029 | 84 |
| 12-2030 | 156 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 107 |
| Days Inventory | 62 |
| Days Payables | 38 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | (13) | (8) | 12 | 14 | (31) |
| 2026 | (35) | (16) | 26 | 29 | (74) |
| 2027 | (88) | (34) | 58 | 55 | (167) |
| 2028 | (157) | (64) | 113 | 97 | (303) |
| 2029 | (268) | (116) | 211 | 179 | (542) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -12945.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -87250.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Verde Agritech PLC (NPK.TO) a buy or a sell? Verde Agritech PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Verde Agritech PLC (NPK.TO) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -87250.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.51.