What is NN6.DE's Intrinsic value?

Nanorepro AG (NN6.DE) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 20, 2025, Nanorepro AG's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $31.94 to $50.95 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $50.95 +2988.1%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $44.79 +2614.6%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $33.15 +1909.0%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $31.94 +1836.0%
Earnings Power Value $37.35 +2163.5%

Is Nanorepro AG (NN6.DE) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $1.65, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Nanorepro AG's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 1.1% 1.6%
Equity market risk premium 4.7% 5.7%
Adjusted beta 1.01 1.19
Cost of equity 5.9% 8.9%
Cost of debt 4.0% 4.5%
Tax rate 7.3% 16.6%
Debt/Equity ratio 0 0
After-tax WACC 5.9% 8.9%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 7.4% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $163 (FY12-2021) to $262 (FY12-2031)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 18% to 21%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 19% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $45 $550M 72.9%
10-Year Growth $51 $629M 54.0%
5-Year EBITDA $83 $1,070M 86.1%
10-Year EBITDA $92 $1,182M 75.5%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 0.0%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 7.4%
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.5%
  • Fair value: $33.15 (1909.0% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 8.9% (Low) to 5.9% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.0% (Low) to 1.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $19 to $45
  • Selected fair value: $31.94 (1836.0% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $32M
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.9% - 5.9%
Enterprise Value $361M - $547M
Net Debt $(28)M
Equity Value $389M - $575M
Outstanding Shares 13M
Fair Value $30 - $45
Selected Fair Value $37.35

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $21M
Enterprise Value $21M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 0.60
Trailing EV/EBITDA 17.90
Current Dividend Yield 697.67%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.00

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $15.29
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $11.20
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $6.63
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $4.79
Earnings Power Value 10% $3.73
Weighted Average 100% $41.64

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Nanorepro AG's weighted average intrinsic value is $41.64, which is approximately 2423.6% above the current market price of $1.65.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (18% to 21% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Conservative capital structure (Debt/Equity of 0.00)

Given these factors, we believe Nanorepro AG is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.