As of May 22, 2025, Next Green Wave Holdings Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.41, this represents a potential upside of -106.8%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -311.4% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -106.8% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.4% - 10.1% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $13 million in 12-2020 to $22 million by 12-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | 13 | 4255% |
| 12-2021 | 14 | 8% |
| 12-2022 | 14 | 3% |
| 12-2023 | 15 | 6% |
| 12-2024 | 16 | 4% |
| 12-2025 | 17 | 7% |
| 12-2026 | 18 | 6% |
| 12-2027 | 19 | 8% |
| 12-2028 | 20 | 4% |
| 12-2029 | 21 | 6% |
| 12-2030 | 22 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 27% in 12-2020 to 30% by 12-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | 3 | 27% |
| 12-2021 | 3 | 22% |
| 12-2022 | 3 | 24% |
| 12-2023 | 4 | 26% |
| 12-2024 | 4 | 27% |
| 12-2025 | 5 | 29% |
| 12-2026 | 5 | 29% |
| 12-2027 | 6 | 29% |
| 12-2028 | 6 | 30% |
| 12-2029 | 6 | 30% |
| 12-2030 | 6 | 30% |
. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 306% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 11 |
| 12-2022 | 19 |
| 12-2023 | 27 |
| 12-2024 | 36 |
| 12-2025 | 46 |
| 12-2026 | 48 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 518 |
| Days Payables | 60 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2021 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 2 | (9) |
| 2022 | 26 | 1 | 43 | 3 | (21) |
| 2023 | 34 | 1 | 46 | (4) | (9) |
| 2024 | 43 | 2 | 48 | 2 | (8) |
| 2025 | 54 | 2 | 51 | 0 | 1 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -311.4% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -106.8% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.95 | 132.3% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 1.06 | 157.7% |
Is Next Green Wave Holdings Inc (NGW.CN) a buy or a sell? Next Green Wave Holdings Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Next Green Wave Holdings Inc (NGW.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -106.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.41.