As of June 8, 2025, MySale Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $2.00 per share. With the current market price at $2.25, this represents a potential upside of -11.1%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.66 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $2.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -71.0% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -11.1% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.1% - 11.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $118 million in 06-2021 to $314 million by 06-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | 118 | 10% |
| 06-2022 | 159 | 35% |
| 06-2023 | 171 | 8% |
| 06-2024 | 185 | 8% |
| 06-2025 | 200 | 8% |
| 06-2026 | 218 | 9% |
| 06-2027 | 232 | 6% |
| 06-2028 | 248 | 7% |
| 06-2029 | 271 | 9% |
| 06-2030 | 290 | 7% |
| 06-2031 | 314 | 8% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -7% in 06-2021 to 1% by 06-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | (8) | -7% |
| 06-2022 | (3) | -2% |
| 06-2023 | (2) | -1% |
| 06-2024 | (1) | -1% |
| 06-2025 | 0 | 0% |
| 06-2026 | 2 | 1% |
| 06-2027 | 2 | 1% |
| 06-2028 | 2 | 1% |
| 06-2029 | 2 | 1% |
| 06-2030 | 2 | 1% |
| 06-2031 | 3 | 1% |
with a 5-year average of $5 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 2% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 06-2022 | 4 |
| 06-2023 | 3 |
| 06-2024 | 3 |
| 06-2025 | 4 |
| 06-2026 | 4 |
| 06-2027 | 5 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 7 |
| Days Inventory | 26 |
| Days Payables | 55 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2022 | 0 | (1) | 2 | (2) | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | (1) | 4 | (1) | (1) |
| 2024 | 3 | (1) | 4 | 1 | (2) |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 5 | (1) | 2 |
| 2026 | 9 | 1 | 5 | (0) | 3 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.66 | -71.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 2.00 | -11.1% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 2.40 | 6.5% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 3.66 | 62.7% |
Is MySale Group PLC (MYSL.L) a buy or a sell? MySale Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, MySale Group PLC (MYSL.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -11.1%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $2.25.