As of June 8, 2025, Samindo Resources Tbk PT's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $627.45 to $1016.98 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $1016.98 | -42.7% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $999.30 | -43.7% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $705.78 | -60.2% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $968.57 | -45.4% |
| Earnings Power Value | $627.45 | -64.7% |
Is Samindo Resources Tbk PT (MYOH.JK) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $1775.00, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Samindo Resources Tbk PT's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 6.6% | 7.1% |
| Equity market risk premium | 7.9% | 8.9% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.81 | 0.91 |
| Cost of equity | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| Cost of debt | 4.0% | 7.0% |
| Tax rate | 22.2% | 23.2% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| After-tax WACC | 12.1% | 14.8% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $0 | $151M | 59.7% |
| 10-Year Growth | $0 | $154M | 34.2% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $0 | $115M | 47.2% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $0 | $135M | 25.0% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $13M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 14.8% - 12.1% |
| Enterprise Value | $91M - $111M |
| Net Debt | $16M |
| Equity Value | $75M - $95M |
| Outstanding Shares | 2,206M |
| Fair Value | $0 - $0 |
| Selected Fair Value | $627.45 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $3916200M |
| Enterprise Value | $4172488M |
| Trailing P/E | 12.61 |
| Forward P/E | 13.43 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 3.50 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.01% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | -33.13% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.10 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $305.09 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $249.83 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $141.16 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $145.29 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $62.75 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $904.11 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Samindo Resources Tbk PT's weighted average intrinsic value is $904.11, which is approximately 49.1% below the current market price of $1775.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Samindo Resources Tbk PT is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.