As of June 14, 2025, Mondo TV Suisse SA has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.07 per share. With the current market price at $0.43, this represents a potential upside of -82.6%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.20 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.07 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -54.0% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -82.6% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.9% - 7.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $1 million in 12-2022 to $1 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 1 | 35% |
| 12-2023 | 1 | -41% |
| 12-2024 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 1 | 5% |
| 12-2026 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 1 | 3% |
| 12-2028 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 1 | 4% |
| 12-2031 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 1 | 6% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 2% in 12-2022 to 2% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2023 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2024 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2026 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2031 | 0 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 0 | 2% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 0 |
| 12-2024 | 0 |
| 12-2025 | 0 |
| 12-2026 | 0 |
| 12-2027 | 0 |
| 12-2028 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 549 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) |
| 2027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.20 | -54.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.07 | -82.6% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.01 | -98.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.02 | -95.9% |
Is Mondo TV Suisse SA (MSU.MI) a buy or a sell? Mondo TV Suisse SA is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Mondo TV Suisse SA (MSU.MI) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -82.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.43.